Tag Archives: Statistics

Will The Saints Go Marching On?

Everyone loves a stat don’t they? I know I do, and that is why I was chuffed when the guys from kickoff.co.uk offered to put together a season preview for me using their expertise. So dear reader, settle back and prepare to be dazzled by the numbers and enjoy!

Will the Saints go marching on?

‘Second season syndrome’ is a phrase regularly bandied around at Premier League level, with the perception being that promoted clubs are more vulnerable to relegation after their opponents have had a year to get used to facing them.

Southampton find themselves in that position ahead of the new campaign, so I thought I’d take a look back at their 2012/13 season and highlight both what they did well and any areas in which I feel they can improve.

POSITIVES

The Saints finished 14th in the final table, yet they were the tenth highest scorers in the division with 49 goals from their 38 matches. Rickie Lambert was responsible for 15 of these strikes, benefitting from being the focal point at the top of their attacking formation.

Both Mauricio Pochettino and Nigel Adkins before him encouraged a positive brand of football, with this being reflected by the fact that Southampton found the net in 29 (76%) of their top-flight fixtures. This achievement is furnished with additional kudos when you consider that this represented the best record outside of the top-seven.

Furthermore, the men from the South Coast scored in all eight of their meetings with the eventual Champions League qualifiers:

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As the chart above also shows, home wins were achieved against two of the top-three, whilst only late brilliance from Robin van Persie handed Manchester United victory at St. Mary’s.

This shows that Southampton can mix it with the big boys, on their own patch at least, but they also managed to remain unbeaten against teams finishing in their quarter of the final table:

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Although six of these games ended all-square, it is certainly worth noting that only Fulham picked up more points (13) from meetings between members of this quintet.

The Saints were similarly strong in matches in which they opened the scoring, winning eight, drawing six and losing four of these encounters. When you consider that half of these defeats came against the eventual champions, then that record starts to look even better.

NEGATIVES

Draws were undoubtedly a problem, with only Everton and Stoke managing more than the 14 picked up by Southampton. Although the team shone offensively, there was a lack of support for Lambert in the scoring stakes; no other player contributed in excess of six league goals.

Another major issue would have to be the defensive frailty displayed by the South Coast outfit. Just seven clean sheets were kept in 38 games, with four of these coming against the six sides that finished below them in the table.

Winning at the top clubs is never easy, but five draws and eight defeats from 13 trips to those that finished above them hints at fundamental flaws in the Saints’ approach to away matches. Could this be the result of some kind of mental block or is it the end product of an overly-positive tactical approach on the road?

Whatever the reason, it is hard to offer up anything other than complacency as an excuse for Southampton losing at home to three of the bottom-four last season:

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Alarm bells also start to ring when we take a look at results from games in which the men from Hampshire conceded first. Eleven of these 17 fixtures ended in defeat, with the 4-1 hammering of Aston Villa representing the only success achieved on the back of going 1-0 down.

Perhaps the most damning statistic of all, however, is just how easy opponents found it to convert their chances against the Saints:

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As you can see, nearly one in five of the shots that Southampton allowed resulted in a goal being scored against them. Only relegated Wigan fared worse in this category, and that by the narrowest of margins, whilst Newcastle were the nearest club in the other direction.

TRANSFERS

The incomings at St. Mary’s this summer should certainly provide the supporters with plenty of encouragement. Croatian international centre-back Dejan Lovren arrives from Lyon, whilst Victor Wanyama has won rave reviews for his performances at Celtic.

Although I have only seen Lovren in action once, in the Europa League at White Hart Lane last season, he comes highly-rated and has already won close to 20 caps for his country.

Young Wanyama has been far more on my radar, however, producing a string of top-class performances both domestically and on the Champions League stage from his natural position in the middle of the park.

These additions, along with the continued development of Luke Shaw, should help to address some of the aforementioned defensive issues, though the squad as a whole is an extremely young one:

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This perfectly feasible starting XI, for example, would boast an average age of just 24 years and nine months come the start of the season.

One more signing in a forward area could be made with a view to easing the burden on Rickie Lambert, but I don’t actually believe this to be necessary. Jay Rodriguez started to blossom when given a run in the team, albeit not in his preferred position, whilst Emmanuel Mayuka is a real talent. I would be interested to hear what Southampton supporters have made of the Zambian in his fleeting cameos, because he has impressed me greatly on the international stage.

FUTURE

If the previous campaign is anything to go by, then a difficult start awaits:

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If we exclude home games with the newly-promoted duo of Crystal Palace and Hull, then it becomes apparent that the Saints failed to win any of the equivalent 11 fixtures during 2012/13.

I must admit that I have my doubts about Pochettino and his high-pressing style, but I have a lot of faith in the group of players that has been assembled at St. Mary’s. This is a squad capable of pushing for a place in the top-ten, but whether or not they achieve that is open to debate.’

Thanks to Charles and Rob from kickoff.co.uk for compiling this!

Chris

Seven Years In Numbers…

As Saints move onwards and upwards, as does georgeweahscousin.com. I am delighted to welcome several new contributors to the site over the coming weeks. Firstly Simon Hall. Simon is 22 and originally from Lyndhurst but now lives in London. He was the sports editor for the University of Birmingham student paper while studying and has always supported Saints. His favourite ever player is Matt Le Tissier though he has a soft spot for all classic nineties players. Over to you Simon. – Chris

Seven Years In Numbers…

Saturday 28th April 2012 will undoubtedly go down in Southampton FC folklore as a day of endless pride, unbridled joy and ultimate redemption. After seven long, turbulent seasons, we will finally return to the Premier League in August. But before we turn our attention to how exactly we might tame that particular beast, let’s take a look back at those turbulent seven seasons in numbers…

134 – The number of Football League wins Saints recorded.

95 – The number of Football League losses Saints suffered.

483 – The number of goals Saints scored in the Football League.

721* – The number of opposition defenders left flat on their backside by a perfectly executed Adam Lallana Cruyff turn.

485 – The number of points amassed by Saints.

10 – The number of points cruelly deducted from this total.

1 – The number of trophies won at Wembley.

1 – The number of gut-wrenching relegations.

6 – Managers.

2 – The number of season Saints spent in the third tier of English football, a level to which we hope we will never return.

78 – The number of league goals scored by St. Rickie Lambert.

2 – The number of relegations suffered by the blue few (in as many years!).

0 – The amount all of this matters now that we are back in the Premier League, where we belong.

*Statistic may not be accurate

Simon

Business End: How It Shapes Up…..

Here is a quick look at the remaining fixtures for Saints, West Ham & Reading as the season approached it’s finale…..

So in the grand scheme of things, how do these fixtures shape up?

Well from a very basic point of view if all three clubs match their results from the reverse fixtures this would be the resultant points:-

1st Saints – 90

2nd West Ham – 87

3rd Reading – 84

It is extremely unlikely that results will turn out like that though so what other factors could we look at?

West Ham have one more home game (5) than Saints and Reading (4) but actually this might not be an advantage, as West Ham have the worst home form, dropping points in as many games as they have taken the maximum (9). All three clubs have the same amount of away trips (6), which slightly favours West Ham over Reading with Saints the biggest strugglers on the road.

Red Ribbons Again?

Saints play the most sides in the bottom half of the table (6), with Reading and West Ham facing the same amount each (4). This is a particularly encouraging number for Saints fans, as Nigel Adkins side have only conceded one goal to a bottom half club in 2012!

Reading are the team on form, having won eight games on the bounce until a draw with Doncaster Rovers in their last outing.

Form over the last ten games for all three teams reads:-

Reading:- LWWWWWWWWD – 25 points

Saints:- LDDWDWWWDW – 19 points

West Ham:- WWLWDWDWDD – 19 points

If everyone stays true to the form book, Reading will complete an impressive end to the season and win the league with 92 points, leaving goal difference to separate Saints and West Ham for the second promotion spot (based on a win for West Ham in their game in hand).

Saints Will Be Hoping To Flood The St. Mary's Pitch Again On Final Day...

What will probably decide the fate of the clubs will be the fixtures of 31st March and 13th April when Reading travel to Upton Park and St. Mary’s respectively. Two wins for the Royals would put them firmly in with a chance at the title. Saints have the best record against their title challenging opponents though, unbeaten, having taken five points from three games. Reading are also unbeaten, taking four points from two, while West Ham have let themselves down in these fixtures with just one point from three.

So who will be lifting the football league trophy on the 28th April? Not easy to tell, but one thing is for sure, for Saints, Royals and Hammers respectively it is going to be one hell of a ride!

Chris

Saints’ 2011 In Numbers….

What a year to be a Saints fan! Certainly one of the best in my time supporting the South Coast’s top club.

Here is my look at 2011 and the significant numbers…. Continue reading Saints’ 2011 In Numbers….